Y-Cap_

Agentic Trading Infrastructure

THE NUMBERS

Prediction markets are a
$0 /month asset class
heading to $0 /day.

'23
'24
'25
'28e

Nobody has built quant infra for this asset class. Yet.

THE OPPORTUNITY

Binary outcomes.
Known resolution.
24/7. Every 5 minutes.

Citadel can't run a 5-minute strategy on a $5 ticket.
The edge is wide open.

WHAT WE BUILD

AI agents that find
probabilistic edge
and execute autonomously.

No traders. No analysts. Just code and capital.

HOW IT WORKS

Edge to execution. Autonomous.

Edge Detection
AUTO
Filter Discovery
AUTO
Shadow Built
APPROVAL
Shadow Validation
7+ DAYS
Real Proposal
APPROVAL
Real Deploy
AUTO
Live Monitoring
CONTINUOUS
Retirement
APPROVAL
Automated Requires Approval Continuous
THE EDGE

Structural mispricing
takes many forms.

We built an agent for each.

STRATEGY ARSENAL

The agent's live playbook.

Bundle Arb
Buy both sides below $1
Flip 95c
High-conviction leader buy
AllAgree 87c
Cross-asset confirmation
First-Tick Momentum
Thin-book tick-1 entry
Hedged Sequence
Arb-cushioned directional
Underdog Premarket
Contrarian entry ≤ 47c

Plus competitor decoding, regime detection, tiered momentum, spot-price divergence and more.

BUNDLE ARB

Buy both sides
below $1.

When YES + NO < $1.00 before resolution, buying both locks in a structural profit. One side always pays $1.

YES
0.48
NO
0.50
Σ = 0.98 $1.00 payout
0%
Win Rate
0
Bundles Captured
+$0
Locked-In PnL
+1.77¢/bundle · 0 orphans · bidSum ≤ 0.98
FLIP 95c

Leader at 95c
resolves at 96.5%.

When a market's leader reaches 95¢, the CLOB implies 95% probability. The actual outcome wins 96.5% of the time.

0.50 BUY @ 0.95 → $1.00
0%
Win Rate
0
Shadow Trades
+0pp
Edge Above Breakeven
Fill-sensitive: 1¢ entry drift = 1pp breakeven shift
ALLAGREE 87c

Three assets agree.
One signal fires.

BTC, ETH, SOL all reach 87¢ on the same side. 72% of 5-min slots resolve together. Agreement is the signal.

BTC
0.87
ETH
0.89
SOL
0.87
ALL AGREE — SIGNAL FIRED
0%
Win Rate
+$0
26-Day PnL (50 shares)
26/26
Profitable Days
+$1,224/day avg · 5,012 slots · zero losing days
FIRST-TICK MOMENTUM

Read tick one.
Act in two seconds.

The first real tick reveals informed flow before the book deepens. We buy the leader at T+1s and hold to resolution.

T+00:00:01.8
tick 0  
tick 1  0.60 ↑
tick 2  0.63 ↑↑
BUY leader @ 0.60
0%
Win Rate
+$0
Backtest PnL (28 days)
21/28
Winning Days
+1.8pp edge · 59.8¢ avg entry · 3,488 confirmed trades
HEDGED SEQUENCE

Arb first.
Direction second.

Buy both sides cheap. Cut the loser at T+60s. Hold the winner to resolution. Even when wrong, the arb cushion absorbs the loss.

T+0 · Buy both sides
Σ = 0.93
T+60 · Sell loser
recover 0.35
T+300 · Hold winner
$1.00
z = 72.7
Statistical Edge
+0¢
Uncapped Gain
-0¢
Capped Loss
Arb cushion converts directional risk into a free option
UNDERDOG PREMARKET

The underdog
is underpriced.

Premarket CLOB systematically over-prices the early leader. We buy the other side at ≤47¢ and let the 5-min coin flip play out.

0.00
0.47
1.00
ENTRY ZONE
+$0
37-Day PnL
0
Trades Executed
+$0/d
Avg Daily PnL
+2.0pp edge · strongest below 40¢ (+4.9pp) · 50 shares
COMPETITOR INTEL

Other bots leak.
We read the leak.

Every trade on Polymarket is on-chain. We reverse-engineer live bots, map their triggers, and front-run or fade their flow.

TARGET 0x7F69...6162 LIVE
08:32:14 BUY 71 @ 0.62
08:32:16 BUY 87 @ 0.64
08:32:18 BUY 95 @ 0.67
08:32:19 BUY 63 @ 0.71
08:32:21 BUY 58 @ 0.74
PATTERN: momentum chase · 86% buy on up-tick
DECODED
$0K/d
Target Bot's PnL
0
Trades Analyzed
0
Markets Decoded
One bot decoded in hours · agent now searching the next one
THE FOUNDATION

Everything above was built on hard data.

0
Polymarket Ticks
0
Resolved Markets
7 / 7
Strategies Live
0
Dollars Lost to
Untested Deploys

Every strategy shadow-tested against live data before a single dollar deployed.

REVENUE MODEL

Spread × Volume × Velocity

1–3%
structural spread
per cycle
0
capital turns
per day
0
operating
margins
Linear
scaling with
capital

Fully autonomous. Cloud compute only. No traders, no analysts, no office.

SCALING PATH

The agent generalizes.

Now
Polymarket crypto
5m + 15m markets
6 months
Multi-timeframe
$500K+ deployed
12 months
Multi-venue
Kalshi, new market types

Each new venue and market type is additive revenue, zero incremental cost.

FOUNDER

Solo founder. Builder.

YOLOrekt
$2B+ leveraged trading volume
SpankChain
Co-founder · Crypto infrastructure pioneer
Y-Cap
Built the entire agentic stack solo
WHY YOU

You already see it.

01
You've been early before. This is the next one.
02
Sports + crypto + politics. One CLOB. One edge.
03
Capital scales linearly. Zero inventory risk.
04
One founder. Live PnL. Agent keeps trading.
THE ASK
raising
$0
@
valuation
$0
0%
Trading Capital
0%
Infrastructure
0%
Runway
Y-Cap
Autonomous. Data-Driven. Scalable.
LIVE
POLY·BTC-5M 0.52 ↑
POLY·ETH-5M 0.47 ↓
POLY·SOL-5M 0.61 ↑
Σ YES+NO 0.98
AGENT·PNL·24h +$1,284
EDGE·CYCLES 2.6%
POLY·XRP-5M 0.55 ↑
KALSHI·NFL 0.38 ↓
POLY·BTC-15M 0.67 ↑
MARKETS·LIVE 2,184
POLY·BTC-5M 0.52 ↑
POLY·ETH-5M 0.47 ↓
POLY·SOL-5M 0.61 ↑
Σ YES+NO 0.98
AGENT·PNL·24h +$1,284
EDGE·CYCLES 2.6%
POLY·XRP-5M 0.55 ↑
KALSHI·NFL 0.38 ↓
POLY·BTC-15M 0.67 ↑
MARKETS·LIVE 2,184
← → NAVIGATE · F FULLSCREEN